Earticle

This study is to examine countermeasures to the possibility of the abrupt change in Chinese Rinminbi through analyzing the effect of the real effective exchange rates in Chinese Rinminbi on the export and import prices in trade between China and Korea. The export and import prices are calculated by the value of exports and imports divided by the quantity. The SITC are categorized by 10 sections to analyze the prices items by items. Since SITC 9 section is not available, this study use the sections from SITC 0 to SITC 8. The Chinese Rinminbi nominal and real effective exchange rates are used by explanatory variables. The data are covered the periods from the first quarter of 1994 to the first quarter of 2010. The empirical results in all cases except SITC 1, the adjustment is occurred by nominal and real effective exchanger rates, in which all signs of direction are positive. This implies in the fixed Chinese Rinminbi exchange rate system that the deviations from long-run equilibrium lead to completely increase the consumer price index. This study show that machinery, steel and petrochemistry over 30% in exports to China have the price competitive advantage due to the appreciation in Chinese Rinminbi, but they may also have negative impacts from the abrupt changes in Chinese economy.

ASEAN member nations have to develop measures to overcome economic crises as its influence is likely to spread over other nations when a critical situation occurs in one of them. Therefore, this study aims to predict exports of each ASEAN member nation. The study analysed data collected from 1997 to 2010, and using a model redicting export based on the data collected, export of each nation was predicted for five years from 2011 to 2015. As a result, predicted export of the Malaysia was 5,698 million dollars and the estimate was consistent for five years. Those of other countries were different, but their export kept increasing steadily. As export can be predicted, the results will be basic data for future policy and management plans.

본 연구는 유럽 시장에서 어떠한 입지 요소가 한국의 다국적 기업의 성과에 영향을 미치는지를 경제적(시장, 사회기반 시설, 임금), 제도적(사회적 안정성, 정부 규제, 법적 체제의 유사성) 요소의 관점에 초점을 맞추어 살펴보는 것을 목적으로 수행되었다. 이에 연구모형을 한국 다국적 기업의 성과에 경제적, 제도적 요소가 영향을 미치는 것으로 설정하였으며, 유럽 시장에 진출한 한국 기업들을 대상으로 4주 동안 설문 조사를 실시하였다. 기업의 성과는 전략적 목표 달성 정도와 해외 자회사의 ROI로 측정되어졌으며, SPSS 14.0을 이용한 다중 회귀 분석을 통해 검증되었다. 분석 결과, 경제적 요소가 한국 기업의 전략적 성과에 부분적으로 영향을 미치고 있음이 발견되었으나, 한국 해외 자회사의 재무적 성과에는 경제적 요소보 다 제도적 요소가 상당한 영향을 미치고 있음을 밝혀냈다.