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초록

영어

This study investigates the impact of urbanization and climate change on the divergence between economic growth and social welfare. I report several main findings. I find that urban land per capita (ULPA) initially widens the GDP–GPI gap due to high infrastructure and congestion costs, but this effect reverses in the long term as benefits of lower density and improved residential environments accrue. In the case of per capita CO₂ emissions, welfare increases temporarily during periods of intense economic activity, but the effect reverses as accumulated environmental costs persist and ultimately enlarge the GDP–GPI gap. The share of manufacturing strengthens the growth-led divergence at first but, in the long run, shifts toward narrowing the gap through more stable employment and gradual income improvement. Income inequality consistently broadens the GDP–GPI gap across both time horizons, indicating a structural rather than temporary influence. Overall, the findings suggest that urbanization, industrial structure, and environmental liabilities interact to shape qualitative changes in sustainability. Achieving sustainable urban development therefore requires balanced land-use strategies, reductions in carbon emissions, and more equitable income distribution, together with the institutional use of the Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) in policy evaluation.

목차

Abstract
1. 서론
2. 이론적 고찰 및 선행연구 검토
2.1. GDP 지표의 한계
2.2. GPI의 개념과 지표체계
2.3. GPI의 한계와 의의
2.4. GPI 국내외 선행연구 및 활용사례 검토
2.5. GPI를 활용한 도시화와 지속가능성 관계 분석
2.6. GPI를 활용한 기후변화와 지속가능성의 관계 분석
2.7. 본 연구의 차별성
3. 연구방법
3.1. 분석 방법
3.2. 분석 변수
4. 분석결과
4.1. GDP와 GPI 변화 추이
4.2. ARDL 모형 분석
5. 결론
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키워드

도시화 참발전지수 기후변화 지속가능성 ARDL 모형 Urbanization Genuine Progress Indicator GPI Climate Change Sustainability Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model

저자

• 김경아 [ Kim, Gyeong A | 협성대학교 초빙교수 ] 단독저자

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