Earticle

초록

영어

This study analyzed the general equilibrium effect of KAFTA on the automobile industry using the PPML gravity model with 3-way fixed effects. As a result, the partial equilibrium analysis showed that KAFTA had a trade expansion effect of 0.41%∼8.94% for member countries, while the conditional general equilibrium analysis in which changes in multilateral resistance occurred showed that both the inward and outward multilateral resistances of member countries decreased, which caused the trade diversion effect to be over, and this partially offset the initial trade expansion effect. In addition, among non-regional countries, the trade diversion effect was the largest in countries such as India, ROW, Ecuador, and Japan. Furthermore, in the full endowment general equilibrium analysis considering changes in factory-gates prices, production value, and total expenditure, most KAFTA member countries enjoyed the effects of improving product prices, consumer utility, and real output levels through the net trade expansion effect, but Myanmar, Laos, and Korea showed a greater trade diversion effect than trade creation, and in particular, Korea was found to be negatively affected in other indicators.

목차

Abstract
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 구조적 중력무역시스템과 일반균형효과
Ⅲ. KAFTA의 일반균형효과 분석방법과 절차
Ⅳ. KAFTA의 일반균형효과 추정결과
Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론
참고문헌

키워드

저자

• 박재진 [ Park, Jae Jin | 동서대학교 글로벌비즈니스대학 국제통상학과 ]

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  무역통상학회지 [Journal of Korea Research Association of International Commerce]

• 간기

  격월간

• pISSN

  1738-4354

• 수록기간

  2001~2025

• 등재여부

  KCI 등재

• 십진분류

  KDC 326 DDC 380