Earticle

초록

영어

This study explores the critical relationship between terrorist attacks and international trade security within the geopolitical environment surrounding China. Amid the deepening interdependence of the global economy, maintaining trade stability has become increasingly important, especially as terrorist attacks pose significant threats to bilateral trade, supply chains, and economic growth. These attacks represent a deliberate disruption to national and regional peace, stability, and prosperity. Utilizing a gravity model framework and panel data from 2000 to 2020, this research assesses the impact of both domestic and transnational terrorist attacks on trade flows between China and 13 neighboring countries, offering insights for safeguarding trade development and mitigating the adverse effects of terrorist attacks on trade security. The development of bilateral trade between China and neighboring countries is highly sensitive to terrorist attacks. Both domestic terrorist attacks and transnational terrorist attacks have significantly reduced bilateral trade between China and neighboring countries. Compared with domestic terrorist attacks, the negative impact of transnational terrorist attacks on trade is more obvious. With the development of bilateral trade, a higher level of economic development can effectively mitigate the negative impact of terrorist attacks on trade, but military spending does not significantly mitigate the negative impact of terrorist attacks on trade. Although the cultural distance between the two countries increases the information asymmetry, it weakens the path of risk spillover, thus mitigating the negative impact of terrorist attacks on trade. In conclusion, this study provides empirical support for the development of bilateral trade between China and neighboring countries under terrorist attacks. Terrorist attacks and trade are inseparable in the geopolitical field, affecting bilateral economic and trade cooperation and development. To maintain trade security and combat terrorist attacks, we need to balance military spending and economic development. While greater cultural distance can mitigate some of the shock of terrorist attacks, it can also pose challenges to trust and communication that must be addressed through multilateral agreements and standardized cooperation to reduce the negative effects of cultural differences. It encourages future research to explore the interaction between terrorist attacks in different regions and trade security under more complex geopolitical risks, creating sustainable bilateral trade.

목차

Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review & Hypothesis
2.1 The Impact of Terrorist Attacks on Trade.
2.2 Transnational Terrorist Attacks: Greater Trade Disruptions
2.3 The Moderating Role of Economic Development in the Influence of Terrorist Attacks on Trade
2.4 The Moderating Role of Mmilitary Expenditure in the Influence of Terrorist Attacks on Trade
2.5 The Moderating Role of Cultural Distance in the Influence of Terrorist Attacks on Trade
3. Research Method
3.1 Regression Model
3.2 Data and Variables
4. Results
5. Discussion
5.1 The Role of Economic Strength
5.2 The Impact of Cultural Distance
5.3 The Influence of Tariffs
5.4 Domestic and Transnational Terrorist Attacks
5.5 Military Expenditure and Trade Security
6. Conclusions
References

키워드

저자

• Luo, Rui [ Graduate School of International Studies, Pusan National University, Korea ]
• Lee, Jae-Woo [ Graduate School of International Studies, Pusan National University, Korea ] Corresponding Author

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  Journal of China Studies

• 간기

  계간

• pISSN

  1975-5902

• eISSN

  3022-5590

• 수록기간

  2006~2026

• 등재여부

  KCI 등재

• 십진분류

  KDC 912 DDC 951