Earticle

초록

영어

Many cities in South Korea are facing the challenge of declining populations. To address the issue of urban shrinkage, this study utilizes population data from KOSIS for the years 2008 to 2023. By calculating the degree of population shrinkage, the study analyzes the population changes across 228 basic local administrative units. The results indicate that, over the past 15 years, 160 cities (70.2% of the total) have experienced population declines, highlighting the urgent need for most local governments to address urban shrinkage. Furthermore, among the remaining 68 cities, 36 have also begun to see population decreases in the last five years, underscoring the intensifying nature of the problem. In addition, this study employs a cubic function model to fit the population and time series data for each city, classifying them into four types: Fluctuation Reduction Type, Continuous Reduction Type, Fluctuation Growth Type, and Continuous Growth Type. The analysis reveals that population growth is primarily concentrated in the Seoul metropolitan area, while other regions generally face population declines. Finally, through case studies of each city type, we examine regional characteristics and population growth rates. This study aims to provide data support and strategic recommendations for future urban development and governance transformations, helping policymakers more effectively address the challenges posed by urban shrinkage.

목차

Abstract
1. 서론
1.1 연구 배경 및 목적
1.2 연구범위 및 방법
2. 이론연구
3. 분석 및 결과
3.1 데이터 정렬
3.2 연구결과 및 분석
4. 축소도시의 유형별 분석사례
4.1 FR형: 서울특별시 강서구 사례
4.2 CR형: 부산광역시 영도구 사례
4.3 FG형: 경기도 과천구 사례
4.4 CG형: 강원특별자치도 원주시 사례
4. 결론
REFERENCES

키워드

저자

• 양스샹 [ Yang, Shi-Shang | 부경대학교 대학원 박사과정 ]
• 노지화 [ Roh, Ji-Hwa | 부경대학교 건축학전공 교수, 공학박사 ] Corresponding Author

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  대한건축학회연합논문집 [Journal of the Regional Association of Architectural Institute of Korea]

• 간기

  격월간

• pISSN

  1229-5752

• 수록기간

  1999~2026

• 등재여부

  KCI 등재

• 십진분류

  KDC 540 DDC 690