中国创业板市场上市前股利政策的信号传递效应 : 兼论上市前突击分红
The Signaling Effect of Pre-Listing Dividend Policy of China's GEM Market : A Discussion on Pre-Listing Surprise Dividend
Based on data from prospectuses of GEM listed companies in China, the signaling effect of pre-listing dividend distribution policy is investigated. If the dividend signaling effect exists in Chinese IPO markets, there is likely a negative relationship between pre-listing dividends and IPO underpricing, also a positive relationship between pre-listing dividends and IPO stock price performance. The results of the empirical analysis show that there is a reasonable correlation between pre-listing cash dividend distribution and IPO pricing and stock price performance, and different information connotations are exhibited in the primary and secondary markets. Specifically, companies that have distributed cash dividends in the three years prior to the IPO, especially those that have distributed steadily for three consecutive years, have a significantly lower IPO price suppression rate than non-distributing companies, while the cumulative IPO excess return rate is significantly higher than that of non-distributing companies. Moreover, pre-listing dividend distribution is significantly and positively correlated with the cumulative excess return at 60, 120, and 240 days after IPO, that is, companies that distribute dividends steadily before IPO have better IPO stock price performance. The study also finds that companies that distribute dividends unexpectedly before going public have more severe price depression, but their cumulative excess returns at 60, 120, and 240 days after going public are still not significantly different from that of other companies, even when higher issue depression is included. This suggests that pre-listing dividends help mitigate information asymmetry between issuers and public investors, increase the value of companies in the primary market and reduce IPO price suppression. Similarly, companies that pay stable dividends before going public are more recognized by the market, increasing the value of the company in the secondary market and increasing the cumulative IPO excess return. However, pre-listing surprise dividends do not have a signaling effect and fail to be favored by secondary market investors. By reviewing both classic and recent literature, we consider that our many-sided discussions on the signaling hypothesis and IPO stock price performance contribute to related future research in this field.
부산대학교 중국전략연구소(구 부산대학교 중국연구소) [Institute of China Strategy]
설립연도
2006
분야
사회과학>사회복지학
소개
본 연구소의 설립을 통해 우선 한중 양국 국민의 상호이해와 교류증진을 위한 인문, 사회과학적인 연구는 물론이고, 이를 통해 기업(인)이 중국에 안정적인 정착과 교류를 할 수 있는 각종 환경을 조성하고자 한다.
게다가 본 연구소는 기존의 연구소의 기능과는 달리 단순한 학술 교류에 머물지 않고 인적 교류를 통해 양국관계의 이해를 증진하고 나아가 한국과 중국의 각종 프로젝트를 적극 유치, 개발함으로써 지속적으로 재원의 창출을 도모하고자 한다.