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Analyzing the Causal Relationship between Trade, FDI and Economic Growth : In the Case of India

첫 페이지 보기
  • 발행기관
    한국무역통상학회 바로가기
  • 간행물
    무역통상학회지 KCI 등재 바로가기
  • 통권
    제21권 제4호 (2021.08)바로가기
  • 페이지
    pp.21-39
  • 저자
    Keshab Raj Bhattarai, Sun-Mi Chang
  • 언어
    영어(ENG)
  • URL
    https://www.earticle.net/Article/A402276

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원문정보

초록

영어
This study analyzes the relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in India from 1980 to 2019. India’s economic reform began in the early 1980s, but the full-scale liberalization and privatization process began in July 1980 due to the balance-of-payments crisis and liquidity crisis faced by the economy. India has been a protectionist country for a while, but has gradually changed to a country open to international trade, and as of 2019, trade accounted for 43.3% of the country’s GDP. The main export products are petroleum (14.6%) and diamonds (7.9%) as primary products, and major trading partners are the United Arab Emirates and China. South Korea recently signed a free trade agreement with ASEAN. The results of analyzing the relationship between trade, FDI, and economic growth in India are as follows. The results of the Granger causal relationship showed that there is a one-way causal relationship between GDP and exports, and that GDP affects the significance level of 5% of exports. In the case of India, an increase in imports or FDI has a positive effect on the increase in GDP, but it is not significant. An increase in exports has a rather negative effect on an increase in GDP, and the VECM results show that when exports increase, GDP decreases by 9% at a level of 10% significance.

목차

Abstract
Ⅰ. Introduction
Ⅱ. Literature Overview
Ⅲ. Economic Status of India
Ⅳ. Empirical Model and Results
Ⅴ. Conclusion
References

키워드

Trade FDI Economic Growth VECM Model Granger Causality Test

저자

  • Keshab Raj Bhattarai [ Ph.D Candidate Graduate School of International Trade, Wonkwang University ] First Author
  • Sun-Mi Chang [ Professor, Division of International Trade, Wonkwang University ] Corresponding Author

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

간행물 정보

발행기관

  • 발행기관명
    한국무역통상학회 [Korea Research Association of International Commerce]
  • 설립연도
    2000
  • 분야
    사회과학>무역학
  • 소개
    국제무역에 관한 학술활동 1. 연구발표회 개최 2. 학술지 간행 3. 산학협동을 위한 조사 연구 4. 국제학술교류 5. 기타 학회 목적에 부합하는 사업

간행물

  • 간행물명
    무역통상학회지 [Journal of Korea Research Association of International Commerce]
  • 간기
    격월간
  • pISSN
    1738-4354
  • 수록기간
    2001~2025
  • 등재여부
    KCI 등재
  • 십진분류
    KDC 326 DDC 380

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