Earticle

초록

영어

This study re-evaluates arguments that relate states‘ power to the likelihood of interstate conflict by examining this relationship under different international system structure. Dyadic power distributions are assumed to be associated with the probability of an expected outcome in conflict. However, the structure of the international system affects states‘ opportunity and resolves to fight, thereby changing the role of dyadic power distributions in the decision making process of conflict. By exploring the impact of system structure on uncertainty about a likely outcome of interstate conflict, this paper provides a comprehensive explanation for the relationship between power and conflict. To perform multilevel analysis of power, system structure, and conflict, this study employs a multilevel model as an empirical strategy. The test results show that the impact of dyadic power distributions on the probability of conflict varies conditional on polarity in the international system. Specifically, although power disparity reduces the chances of MID onsets in bipolar systems, this negative impact disappears in multipolar systems. This study contributes to the literature of power and conflict theoretically and empirically, in potential, subsuming both the balance of power and power preponderance theories.

목차

Abstract
I. Introduction
II. Relative Power, System Structure, and Conflict
1. Relative Power and Conflict
2. System Structure and Uncertainty
3. Structure as Constraint
III. Combining Dyadic and Systemic Level Explanations
IV. Hypothesis
V. Research Design
VI. Results
VII. Conclusions
References

키워드

저자

• Won-Jae Hwang [ Dept. of Political Science, University of Tennessee, U.S.A. ]
• David Brulé [ Dept. of Political Science, University of Tennessee, U.S.A. ]

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  평화학연구 [THE JOURNAL OF PEACE STUDIES]

• 간기

  계간

• pISSN

  1738-2580

• 수록기간

  2004~2024

• 등재여부

  KCI 등재

• 십진분류

  KDC 340 DDC 320