In this paper, a new model, core vector regression (CVR) optimized by memetic algorithm (MA), is presented to predict electric daily load. Support vector regression (SVR) has obtained wide focus in recent years to solve nonlinear regression problems in many fields. However, it is limited on large scale dataset problem because of its high time and space complexity. Hence, CVR is proposed to improve the SVR on solving large scale dataset problem. Proper parameters selection of CVR model determines the complexity and accuracy of the model. In this paper, MA is proposed to optimize the parameters of CVR, which is called MA-CVR. Electric load is the time-dependent data which shows recurrent pattern weekly, seasonally and yearly. In this paper, we adopt MA optimization method and choose adaptive parameters dynamically based on time recurrent character of electric load data. Experimental results show that MA-CVR outperforms the existing model optimized by genetic algorithm which is called GA-CVR.
목차
Abstract 1. Introduction 2. Problem Statement 3. The Proposed Algorithm 3.1. Core Vector Regressions 3.2. Memetic Algorithm 3.3. MA-CVR Model 4. Case Studies 4.1. Historical Data 4.2. Construction of Datasets And Samples 4.3. Model Parameters 4.4 Evaluation Method 4.5 Results 5. Conclusion Acknowledgements References
키워드
Short term load forecasting (STLF)Support vector regression (SVR)Core vector regression (CVR)Memetic algorithm (MA)Genetic Algorithm (GA)
저자
Yuancheng Li [ School of Control and Computer Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China ]
Rong Ma [ School of Control and Computer Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China ]
Liqun Yang [ School of Control and Computer Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China ]
Pu Chen [ School of Control and Computer Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China ]
보안공학연구지원센터(IJCA) [Science & Engineering Research Support Center, Republic of Korea(IJCA)]
설립연도
2006
분야
공학>컴퓨터학
소개
1. 보안공학에 대한 각종 조사 및 연구
2. 보안공학에 대한 응용기술 연구 및 발표
3. 보안공학에 관한 각종 학술 발표회 및 전시회 개최
4. 보안공학 기술의 상호 협조 및 정보교환
5. 보안공학에 관한 표준화 사업 및 규격의 제정
6. 보안공학에 관한 산학연 협동의 증진
7. 국제적 학술 교류 및 기술 협력
8. 보안공학에 관한 논문지 발간
9. 기타 본 회 목적 달성에 필요한 사업
간행물
간행물명
International Journal of Control and Automation
간기
월간
pISSN
2005-4297
수록기간
2008~2016
십진분류
KDC 505DDC 605
이 권호 내 다른 논문 / International Journal of Control and Automation Vol.9 No.6