We show that the ultimate consumption model proposed by Parker and Julliard (2005) well explains the cross-section of investment-based stock returns. By the generalized method of moment (GMM) estimation, we find that the ultimate consumption model with horizons from 3 years to 4 years has superior performance to the contemporaneous consumption model. The linearized model’s performance is comparable to that of the Fama-French and Chen-Roll-Ross model. We argue that the better performance of the ultimate model is linked to the relationship between business-cycle frequency consumption shocks and investment-based returns.
목차
Abstract 1 Introduction 2 Related Literature 3 Data and Empirical Methodology 3.1 Data 3.2 Empirical Methodology 4 Empirical Evidence 4.1 Performance of the Ultimate Consumption Model 4.2 Performance of the Linearized Model 4.3 Performance Test to Explain the Investment-Based Spreads 4.4 Business-Cycle Frequency Relation between Consumption and Investment basedReturns 5 Conclusion References
Hankil Kang [ College of Business, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Seoul, Korea ]
Jangkoo Kang [ Graduate School of Finance & Accounting, College of Business, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Seoul, Korea ]
Changjun Lee [ College of Business Administration, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies ]
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