The Web crawler technology enables timely and accurate collection of agricultural products price among 214 large-scale wholesale markets in China, which brings enormous convenient for a better observation of agricultural products future price trend. This article, which is based on market prices of various agricultural products collected by web crawler technology, develops quantitative analysis predictive models of wholesale prices. The predictive model of cucumber prices presents regularity of ARIMA (3,1,2) model. By comparing the relative errors between predicted and actual values, we find that ARIMA (3,1,2) model can provide high accuracy of short-term prediction for cucumber prices in Shandong Shouguang wholesale market.
목차
Abstract 1. Introduction 2. Price Collection Timely by using Internet Technology 3. Empirical Analysis and Modeling Price of Agriculture Produce 3.1. Model Specification & Data Sources 3.2. Model Building 3.3. Time Series Forecast and Test 4. Conclusions and Suggestions References
키워드
ARIMA modelweb crawler technologytime seriesultra-short term forecasting
저자
Wang Xin [ Notional Engineering Research Center for Agricultural Product Logistics, 250103, Ji'nan, China, Shandong Institute of Commerce and Technology, 250103, Ji'nan, China ]
Wang Can [ Shandong Institute of Commerce and Technology, 250103, Ji'nan, China ]
보안공학연구지원센터(IJAST) [Science & Engineering Research Support Center, Republic of Korea(IJAST)]
설립연도
2006
분야
공학>컴퓨터학
소개
1. 보안공학에 대한 각종 조사 및 연구
2. 보안공학에 대한 응용기술 연구 및 발표
3. 보안공학에 관한 각종 학술 발표회 및 전시회 개최
4. 보안공학 기술의 상호 협조 및 정보교환
5. 보안공학에 관한 표준화 사업 및 규격의 제정
6. 보안공학에 관한 산학연 협동의 증진
7. 국제적 학술 교류 및 기술 협력
8. 보안공학에 관한 논문지 발간
9. 기타 본 회 목적 달성에 필요한 사업
간행물
간행물명
International Journal of Advanced Science and Technology
간기
월간
pISSN
2005-4238
수록기간
2008~2016
십진분류
KDC 505DDC 605
이 권호 내 다른 논문 / International Journal of Advanced Science and Technology Vol.87