This paper examines the amplifying mechanism of systemic risk propagation within a nonlinear framework. We focus on the hidden leverage-induced asset value dynamics in the financial markets, intertwined with balance-sheet components of the banking system. We propose a systemic leverage index by estimating smooth transition regression models based on the intrinsic element of the financial system, off-balance-sheet transaction, and cross-border activities of the Korean commercial banking system. We find strong evidence that the amplification is more pronounced with the cross-sectional homogeneity in managing systemic leverage as a whole. This observation provides the important policy-oriented implication that an individual bank's systemic importance can be gauged by its marginal contribution to system- wide homogeneity.
목차
Abstract 1 Introduction 2 Systemic Leverages and its Components 2.1 Economic Implication of Systemic Leverage 2.2 Systemic Leverage Components 2.3 Amplifying Mechanism and Homogeneity 3 Methodology and Data 3.1 Model Specication 3.2 Smooth Transition Regression Model 3.3 Data and Sample 4 Empirical Results 4.1 Nonlinear Systemic Risk Propagation 4.2 Marginal Contributions to the Systemic Vulnerability 4.3 Homogeneity at the Individual Level 4.4 Homogeneity measure as a macroprudential toolkit 5 Conclusion References