This paper provides estimators of the realized third and fourth order (joint) cumulants, which are standardized (co)moments, for arithmetic returns with one assumption under which each price is a martingale. The estimators that are developed based on Aggregation Property of Neuberger (2012) help to access the ex-post moments of returns for a specific period and do not require data for a long period. Moreover, we show that neither realized fourth moments nor third comoments of log returns exist under the similar condition. In addition, we conduct an empirical study based on the realized higher order cumulants and the results are consistent with the literature.
목차
Abstract I. Introduction II. The Aggregation Property Given Comoment Processes III. Practical issues on the estimation IV. Empirical study IV.1. Cumulants of the S&P 500 returns IV.2. (Joint) cumulants of returns and subsequent returns V. Concluding Remark Appendix A: Proofs of Proposition 1 and 2. Appendix B: Proofs of Proposition 3 and 5 and Corollary 4. References