This paper examines optimal consumption and portfolio choice for the agent concerned about a worst-case scenario with respect to external habit formation. Our agent more decreases stock investment as the volatility of consumption surplus increases more than an agent without model uncertainty. We theoretically derive the countercyclical uncer- tainty aversion, which is disentangled from the risk aversion. The better the economy, the lower the uncertainty aversion. We obtain both the Lucas style equilibrium asset price and risk-free rate, and we provide more plausible parameter choices to explain both the equity premium puzzle and the low risk-free rate puzzle.
목차
Abstract 1 Introduction 2 Optimal portfolio for external habit formation without model uncertainty 2.1 The model 2.2 The solution 3 Optimal portfolio strategy for external habit formation with model uncertainty 3.1 The model 3.2 The solution 3.3 The countercyclical uncertainty aversion 4 Equilibrium asset price 5 Numerical examples 5.1 Optimal consumption and portfolio 5.2 Equity premium and risk-free rate puzzles 6 Conclusion References TABLE FIGURE
키워드
Model uncertaintyexternal habit formationcountercyclical uncertainty aversionequilibrium asset price
저자
Tong Suk Kim [ Graduate School of Finance, KAIST, ]
Hyo Seob Lee [ Graduate School of Management, KAIST ]
Corresponding author