现代流通体系升级如何塑造区域供应链韧性? 基于中国省际面板的空间溢出效应研究
How Does the Upgrading of the Modern Circulation System Shape Regional Supply Chain Resilience? A Study on Spatial Spillover Effects Based on Interprovincial Panel Data in China
Against the backdrop of rising external uncertainty, profound restructuring of industrial and supply chains, and the continued advancement of the unified national market, enhancing regional supply chain resilience has become an important issue in promoting high-quality development. Based on panel data from 30 regions in China over the period 2010–2024, this study constructs a comprehensive index of modern circulation system upgrading (MLU) from the perspectives of logistics infrastructure, digital circulation capability, and producer service empowerment, as well as a regional supply chain resilience (SCR) index capturing accessibility, supporting capacity, stability, and recovery ability. Within a spatial econometric framework, this paper examines the spatial association between modern circulation system upgrading and regional supply chain resilience. The results of the global Moran’s I test indicate that regional supply chain resilience exhibits significant positive spatial autocorrelation. After model specification tests, a two-way fixed effects Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) is employed for empirical estimation. To accurately capture the multidimensional interactions among provinces, an economic-geographic nested spatial weight matrix is utilized as the benchmark setting, providing a more rigorous estimation of cross-regional dependencies. The findings show that the upgrading of the modern circulation system is positively associated with local supply chain resilience and also exhibits certain spatial linkage characteristics across regions. These results suggest that improvements in logistics connectivity, digital circulation capacity, and producer-service support are closely related to regional supply chain resilience. Robustness checks based on alternative spatial weight matrices indicate that the direction of the core estimates remains generally consistent across different spatial settings. It should be noted that both the modern circulation system and regional supply chain resilience are comprehensive regional-level constructs. Some statistical indicators may reflect closely related aspects of regional economic operation. Therefore, the findings of this study should be interpreted as empirical evidence of spatial association rather than strict causal identification. This study contributes to the literature by integrating modern circulation system upgrading and supply chain resilience into a regional analytical framework and provides policy implications for improving circulation networks, strengthening cross-regional coordination, and enhancing regional supply chain resilience.
부산대학교 중국전략연구소(구 부산대학교 중국연구소) [Institute of China Strategy]
설립연도
2006
분야
사회과학>사회복지학
소개
본 연구소의 설립을 통해 우선 한중 양국 국민의 상호이해와 교류증진을 위한 인문, 사회과학적인 연구는 물론이고, 이를 통해 기업(인)이 중국에 안정적인 정착과 교류를 할 수 있는 각종 환경을 조성하고자 한다.
게다가 본 연구소는 기존의 연구소의 기능과는 달리 단순한 학술 교류에 머물지 않고 인적 교류를 통해 양국관계의 이해를 증진하고 나아가 한국과 중국의 각종 프로젝트를 적극 유치, 개발함으로써 지속적으로 재원의 창출을 도모하고자 한다.