Cross-Border 전자상거래 발전이 산업별 고용 구조에 미치는 영향 : 중국 성 단위 패널분석
The Impact of Cross-Border E-Commerce Development on Industrial Employment Structure : Evidence from Chinese Provincial Panel Data
This study empirically investigates the impact of cross-border e-commerce (CBEC) development on the industrial employment structure in China using balanced panel data from 30 Chinese provinces from 2013 to 2021. As digitalization and global online trade rapidly expand, CBEC has become an important driver of economic transformation in China. Supported by government policies, logistics infrastructure, and digital platforms, CBEC growth is expected to influence labor allocation across industries. To measure the level of CBEC development, this study constructs a multidimensional composite index based on indicators related to scale, support environment, and development potential using the entropy weight method. A two-way fixed effects panel model is employed to estimate the effects of CBEC on employment shares in the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries while controlling for regional and temporal heterogeneity. The empirical results show that CBEC development significantly reduces the employment share of the primary industry and significantly increases the employment share of the tertiary industry, while its impact on the secondary industry is statistically insignificant. These findings indicate that CBEC facilitates labor reallocation from traditional agricultural sectors to service-oriented industries such as logistics, digital platforms, and online retail services. The results are consistent with theories of structural transformation emphasizing labor movement from low-productivity sectors to high-productivity sectors during economic development. In addition, the effects of CBEC development exhibit clear regional heterogeneity. The positive employment effects are more pronounced in eastern provinces, where digital infrastructure and market accessibility are relatively advanced, whereas the effects are weaker in central and western regions. Robustness checks using an alternative indicator of digital economy development confirm the consistency of the main findings. Overall, this study provides empirical evidence that CBEC serves as an important driver of industrial upgrading and employment structure transformation in China. The findings suggest that policies supporting digital infrastructure expansion, regional connectivity, and labor mobility are essential for promoting balanced regional development and sustainable employment growth in the digital economy era.
목차
Abstract 1. 서론 2. 선행연구 및 현황 분석 2.1. 선행연구 2.2. 현황분석 3. 연구방법 3.1. 연구모형 3.2. 변수 정의 및 측정 3.3. CBEC 발전 수준 측정 3.4. 자료출처 및 기술통계 3.5. 모형 검정 및 선택 4. 실증분석 결과 4.1. 기초 회귀분석 결과 4.2. 결과 해석 4.3. 지역별 이질성 분석 4.4. 강건성(robustness) 검증 5. 결론 및 정책적 시사점 참고문헌
부산대학교 중국전략연구소(구 부산대학교 중국연구소) [Institute of China Strategy]
설립연도
2006
분야
사회과학>사회복지학
소개
본 연구소의 설립을 통해 우선 한중 양국 국민의 상호이해와 교류증진을 위한 인문, 사회과학적인 연구는 물론이고, 이를 통해 기업(인)이 중국에 안정적인 정착과 교류를 할 수 있는 각종 환경을 조성하고자 한다.
게다가 본 연구소는 기존의 연구소의 기능과는 달리 단순한 학술 교류에 머물지 않고 인적 교류를 통해 양국관계의 이해를 증진하고 나아가 한국과 중국의 각종 프로젝트를 적극 유치, 개발함으로써 지속적으로 재원의 창출을 도모하고자 한다.