Although prior studies have extensively documented the momentum effect across different markets, time periods, and asset classes, most of the existing literature focuses on individual determinants of momentum returns in isolation. In particular, there is limited empirical evidence on how momentum profitability jointly varies with market conditions and investor ownership structure. Motivated by this gap, this study investigates the profitability of momentum strategies in the Chinese stock market using common stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. In addition to the conventional winner-minus-loser (WML) strategy, we also examine alternative volatility-managed momentum strategies. Furthermore, following Cooper et al. (2004), we classify market states into up and down markets to analyze whether momentum returns depend on market conditions. Finally, we explore how momentum profitability varies with the level of institutional ownership. The empirical results can be summarized as follows. First, both the traditional momentum strategy and volatility-managed momentum strategies generate statistically significant positive returns in the Chinese stock market, with the Daniel and Moskowitz (2016) strategy exhibiting the strongest performance. Second, momentum profits are primarily driven by up-market periods, suggesting that market conditions play a crucial role in determining strategy effectiveness. Third, momentum returns are significantly higher in portfolios with greater institutional ownership, implying that institutional investors contribute more to the generation of momentum profits. These findings provide important economic implications. They suggest that incorporating risk management and market timing can enhance momentum strategy performance, and that investor composition—particularly institutional ownership—plays a critical role in explaining momentum returns. This study contributes to the literature by offering a more comprehensive understanding of momentum profitability through the joint consideration of market conditions and investor ownership structure. By highlighting the role of institutional investors, it also provides new insights into the underlying mechanism of the momentum effect. Nevertheless, this study is limited by its focus on stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, which may restrict the representativeness of the findings, suggesting that future research should extend the analysis to include firms listed on the Shenzhen and Beijing Stock Exchanges to improve generalizability.
목차
Abstract 1. 서론 2. 데이터 3. 방법론 3.1. 전통적 모멘텀 전략의 수익률 3.2. Barroso and Santa-Clara(2015)와 Daniel and Moskowitz(2016)의 모멘텀 수익률 4. 실증 분석 결과 5. 결론 참고문헌
부산대학교 중국전략연구소(구 부산대학교 중국연구소) [Institute of China Strategy]
설립연도
2006
분야
사회과학>사회복지학
소개
본 연구소의 설립을 통해 우선 한중 양국 국민의 상호이해와 교류증진을 위한 인문, 사회과학적인 연구는 물론이고, 이를 통해 기업(인)이 중국에 안정적인 정착과 교류를 할 수 있는 각종 환경을 조성하고자 한다.
게다가 본 연구소는 기존의 연구소의 기능과는 달리 단순한 학술 교류에 머물지 않고 인적 교류를 통해 양국관계의 이해를 증진하고 나아가 한국과 중국의 각종 프로젝트를 적극 유치, 개발함으로써 지속적으로 재원의 창출을 도모하고자 한다.