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2024년 북․러 조약의 성격과 이행 전망: 1961년, 2000년 조약 비교 분석
The Characteristics and Prospects for Implementation of the 2024 North Korea?Russia Treaty: A Comparative Analysis with the 1961 and 2000 Treaties
원문정보
초록
- 영어
- This study comparatively analyzes three North Korea?Russia treaties ? the 1961 Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance, the 2000 Treaty of Friendship, Good- Neighborliness and Cooperation, and the 2024 Treaty on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership ? to explain why each treaty was concluded, what it stipulated, and to what extent it was implemented. Drawing on realism, neorealism, and alliance theory, the study examines how the structure of the international system conditioned the strategic needs of Russia and North Korea, which in turn shaped the character and implementation of each treaty. The 1961 treaty, forged under Cold War bipolarity, established a formal military alliance with an automatic intervention clause, yet Soviet strategic flexibility prevented its actual implementation in crises such as the Pueblo incident. The 2000 treaty, concluded under U.S. unipolarity, replaced military commitments with ambiguous consultative clauses, yielding only limited practical cooperation. The 2024 treaty, signed amid the transition toward multipolarity accelerated by Russia's prolonged war in Ukraine and tightening Western sanctions, is characterized in this study as a “conditional military alliance”: it codifies obligations of military assistance ? qualified by provisos invoking the UN Charter and domestic law ? and has already seen unprecedented implementation, including large-scale munitions transfers and troop deployments. Nevertheless, the comparison reveals that treaty implementation across all three periods has depended on whether Russia possessed strategic alternatives to North Korea. This pattern of strategic flexibility renders the 2024 treaty structurally unstable: should the war in Ukraine end or Russia?West relations be recalibrated, North Korea?Russia ties are likely to face significant realignment. These findings carry important implications for the security architecture of Northeast Asia and the Korean Peninsula.
저자
간행물 정보
발행기관
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- 발행기관명
- 동북아시아문화학회 [The Association of North-east Asian Cultures]
- 설립연도
- 2000
- 분야
- 복합학>학제간연구
- 소개
- 동북아시아 문화의 다양성과 정체성을 연구 토론하고, 지역내 문화 교류의 다양한 모습을 연구하고 문화변동의 큰 틀을 집적함으로써 우리 민족 문화 및 상대 민족의 문화적 터전을 이해하여 문화공동체적 특성을 계발하고 상호 관련성의 강화를 유도하는 학술활동을 통해 동북아시아의 문화발전에 이바지함.
간행물
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- 간행물명
- 동북아 문화연구 [Journal of North-east Asian Cultures]
- 간기
- 계간
- pISSN
- 1598-3692
- 수록기간
- 2001~2026
- 등재여부
- KCI 등재
- 십진분류
- KDC 910 DDC 950
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