Earticle

초록

영어

This study aims to analyze the forest fire risk in the Gangwon region using FlamMap, a fire behavior prediction software. The research focuses on the large-scale wildfire that occurred in Gangneung on April 11, 2023. By comparing the actual fire spread data with the simulation results, the accuracy of the FlamMap model was evaluated. The actual fire exhibited a flame length of 5 to 10 meters, with a maximum of 15 meters, while the simulation predicted a range of 3.35 to 6.10 meters. The rate of spread in the actual fire reached up to 40 meters per minute, whereas the simulation forecasted a maximum of 27 meters per minute. Fireline intensity during the first 180 minutes reached 50,000 kW/m in the actual fire, while the simulation results varied between 3,500 and 25,000 kW/m, with some sections reaching up to 50,000 kW/m. Additionally, the actual fire reached nearby residential areas within 3 hours, while the simulation estimated a time range of 503 to 720 minutes. These discrepancies highlight the need for incorporating dynamic weather data and region-specific fuel conditions in future simulations for more accurate fire predictions. The findings suggest that improvements in the simulation process could enhance fire prevention and response strategies in forest fire-prone regions like Gangwon.

목차

Abstract
1. 서론
2. 강원도 산불 사례분석
2.1 2000년 동해안 산불 발생 원인
2.2 2022년 울진삼척 산불 발생 원인 및 확산 경로
2.3 2023년 강릉 산불 발생 원인 및 확산 경로
2.4 대상 지역 지형 및 기후 특징
3. 강릉 산불 시뮬레이션
3.1 FLAMMAP
3.2 시뮬레이션 입력 변수
3.3 시뮬레이션 결과
3.4 시뮬레이션 결과에 따른 개선방안
4. 결론
5. Acknowledgements
6. References

키워드

저자

• 박형균 [ Hyeong-Gyoon Park | 한빛안전기술단 기업부설연구소 ]
• 김동민 [ Dong-Min Kim | 한빛안전기술단 기업부설연구소 ]
• 고은성 [ Eun-Sung Go | 한빛안전기술단 기업부설연구소 ]
• 전용한 [ Yong-Han Jeon | 상지대학교 소방공학과 ] Corresponding Author

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  대한안전경영과학회지 [Journal of Korea Safety Management & Science]

• 간기

  계간

• pISSN

  1229-6783

• eISSN

  2288-1484

• 수록기간

  1999~2025

• 십진분류

  KDC 530 DDC 620