KNU IFS 2017 Annual International Symposium of Institute of Forest Science (2017.11)바로가기
페이지
pp.70-70
저자
Il-Kook Park, Dae-In Kim, Jong-Sun Kim, Woo-Jin Choi, Daesik Park
언어
영어(ENG)
URL
https://www.earticle.net/Article/A450088
원문정보
초록
영어
Continuous global warming affects distribution patterns of various animal species. In South Korea, Gekko japonicus has found only in Busan, Gimhae, Masan and Mokpo city which are located at southern coastal places of South Korea. In this study, we determined current distribution of G. japonicus in South Korea and Japan based on 19 bioclimate, altitude and aspect data, which were obtained from Worldclim and Vegetation index (NDVI) from USGS, using MaxEnt (Maximum Entropy Modeling). We also subsequently predicted future distribution (2050 and 2070) of G. japonicas in South Korea based on a climate projection model (HadGEM2-ES: rcp 8.5). As distribution data, we used total 910 location data, which were collected from both South Korea and Japan. The each AUC values of the three models were all 0.963, suggesting that our model are highly reliable. Precipitation of driest quarter (35.6%) at present (1960-1990), precipitation of driest quarter (22.5%), annual precipitation (16.9%) and NDVI (15.4%) in 2050 and temperature seasonality (21.8%) and annual precipitation (18.2%) in 2070 explained each more than 15% of its distribution, respectively. In South Korea, current distribution of G. japonicus mainly occurred at westcoast side of Jeolla-do and southand eastcoast side of Gyeonsang-do. Following climate change, the distribution of G. japonicus further expanded to the north, but only along those westcoast and eastcost distribution lines.
Il-Kook Park [ Department of Biology, Kangwon National University, Kangwon 24341, Republic of Korea ]
Dae-In Kim [ Department of Biology, Kangwon National University, Kangwon 24341, Republic of Korea;2Divison of Basic Ecology, National Institute of Ecology, Choongnam 33657, Republic of Korea ]
Jong-Sun Kim [ Department of Biology, Kangwon National University, Kangwon 24341, Republic of Korea ]
Woo-Jin Choi [ Department of Biology, Kangwon National University, Kangwon 24341, Republic of Korea ]
Daesik Park [ Division of Science Education, Kangwon National University, Kangwon 24341, Republic of Korea ]
Corresponding Author