Earticle

초록

영어

Korea is facing a number difficulties arising from rising housing prices. As ‘housing’ takes the lion’s share in personal assets, many difficulties are expected to arise from fluctuating housing prices. The purpose of this study is creating housing price prediction model to prevent such risks and induce reasonable real estate purchases. This study made many attempts for understanding real estate instability and creating appropriate housing price prediction model. This study predicted and validated housing prices by using the LSTM technique - a type of Artificial Intelligence deep learning technology. LSTM is a network in which cell state and hidden state are recursively calculated in a structure which added cell state, which is conveyor belt role, to the existing RNN’s hidden state. The real sale prices of apartments in autonomous districts ranging from January 2006 to December 2019 were collected through the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport’s real sale price open system and basic apartment and commercial district information were collected through the Public Data Portal and the Seoul Metropolitan City Data. The collected real sale price data were scaled based on monthly average sale price and a total of 168 data were organized by preprocessing respective data based on address. In order to predict prices, the LSTM implementation process was conducted by setting training period as 29 months (April 2015 to August 2017), validation period as 13 months (September 2017 to September 2018), and test period as 13 months (December 2018 to December 2019) according to time series data set. As a result of this study for predicting ‘prices’, there have been the following results. Firstly, this study obtained 76 percent of prediction similarity. We tried to design a prediction model of real estate transaction price with the LSTM Model based on AI and Bigdata. The final prediction model was created by collecting time series data, which identified the fact that 76 percent model can be made. This validated that predicting rate of return through the LSTM method can gain reliability.

목차

Abstract
1. INTRODUCTION
2. RESEARCH METHOD
3. THEORETICAL CONSIDERATION
4. DATA MANIPULATION
4.1 Data Collection
4.2 Data Set Composition
4.3 Scenario and Data Set Composition
4.4 Data Preprocessing to Apply LSTM (Predict 3 Months from Now)
5. EXPERIMENT AND RESULTS
6. CONCLUSION AND LIMITATION
REFERENCES

키워드

저자

• Jeong-hyun Lee [ PhD Candidate, Dept. of Real Estate Studies, Konkuk Univ., Korea ]
• Hoo-bin Kim [ Master Candidate, Dept. of Artificial Intelligence, Yonsei Univ., Korea ]
• Gyo-eon Shim [ Prof., Dept. of Real Estate Studies, Konkuk Univ., Korea ] Corresponding Author

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology(IJACT)

• 간기

  계간

• pISSN

  2288-7202

• eISSN

  2288-7318

• 수록기간

  2013~2025

• 등재여부

  KCI 등재

• 십진분류

  KDC 600 DDC 700