Earticle

초록

영어

We hypothesize that managers can learn about a firm’s investment uncertainty from the equity options market. Using a US sample of 1,865 merger and acquisition attempts during 1996–2015, we show that the volatility implied from an acquiring firm’s equity options around an acquisition announcement negatively predicts the likelihood of acquisition attempts being completed. This negative impact is robust to controls for stock prices, alternative uncertainty proxies, and endogeneity tests. Moreover, we document three economic channels, finding that the effect of option implied volatility on deal completion is stronger among acquirers in which disinvestment is more difficult, whose managers are more susceptible to risk aversion, and whose options market is expected to have more information. Our findings suggest that options trading functions as a feedback mechanism to help managers learn about riskiness when making investment decisions.

목차

Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Related literature and hypothesis development
3. Data and descriptive statistics
3.1. M&A data
3.2. Equity options data
3.3. Sample and summary statistics
4. Option implied volatility and M&A completion
4.1. Baseline results
4.2. Robustness tests
5. Additional tests
5.1. Economic channels
5.2. Sensitivity of investment to option implied volatility
6. Conclusion
References
Appendix

키워드

저자

• Da-Hea Kim [ Department of Finance, SKK Business School, Sungkyunkwan University ]
• Sie Ting Lau [ Department of Banking and Finance, Nanyang Business School, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore ]
• Bohui Zhang [ School of Management and Economics and Shenzhen Finance Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen ]

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