지역단위 수요 예측에 기반한 전기차 충전인프라 구축 방안 연구 : 머신러닝기반 공간분포 예측 모형을 중심으로
A Study on the Improvement of Investment strategy on charging infrastructure based on regional EV demand forecast
Recently, the Korean government announced a strategy for advancing future car technology and preoccupying the market. The strategy includes an active deployment of electric vechicle(EV) charging infrastructure where the role of the public is the most important. To achieve efficiency of the deployment, close estimation of the actual demand for charging electric vehicles in both temporal and spatial dimensions is very important. To respond to these policy demands, this study aims to derive a deep understanding of the spatial distribution of charging demand over time as well as policy measures for charging infrastructure based on it. A spatial model is developed using machine learning algorithm and used to forecast the spatial distribution of EV ownership between 2025 and 2035. Overall EV charging demand is estimated based on the spatial distribution of EV ownership and their trips, and the amount of charging infrastructure needed to be installed is also estimated by type and by municipality reflecting the preference of the current EV users. In particular, the estimated charging demand was high within Seoul and in other metropolitan areas for daytime work or visiting places, while the demand for residential-based slow charging was higher in suburban cities. Preferred types of charging infrastructure also differ depending on their activity characteristics and places.
목차
Abstract 1. 서론 2. 선행연구 고찰 3. 전기차 공간분포 모형 개발 3.1. 국내 전기차 공간데이터베이스 구축 3.2. 전기차 공간분포 모형의 개발 4. 결과 4.1. 국내 전기차 공간분포 모형 구축결과 4.2. 전기차 분포 예측결과 4.3. 전기차 통행목적별 공간분포 분석 4.4. 충전기 유형별 전기차 충전수요 공간 분석 5. 결론 5.1. 연구의 종합 5.2. 연구의 한계 참고문헌
한국지역개발학회 [The Korean Regional Development Association]
설립연도
1989
분야
사회과학>지역개발
소개
국토의 균형발전과 도시 및 농촌지역 계획에 관한 이론을 종합적으로 연구하고 지역개발에 관한 학문적, 실용적 연구발전을 통하여 지속가능한 지역발전에 기여함을 목적으로 한다.
또한 세계화 시대에 부응하여 아시아지역의 선도적인 지역개발 경험을 바탕으로 개발도상국가의 지역개발전략 및 개발사업을 지원한다.
간행물
간행물명
한국지역개발학회지 [Journal of the Korean Regional Development Association]