韩中自贸区背景下的贸易效应研究 -基于引力模型的模拟-
A Study on the Trade Effect of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement : Applying a Gravity Model Simulation 한중자무구배경하적무역효응연구 -기우인력모형적모의-
With the rising complexity of the global economic environment and international relations, countries all over the world have been looking for new development ideas. The mode of regional economic development has become an indispensable strategy for the economic development of Korea and China. In this context, The China-South Korea Free Trade Agreement was reached, the provisions of which deal with a wide range of trade issues such as specific countries that are covered by the agreement, quantity, and scope, permitting the largest degree of freedom. Based on the establishment of the China-South Korea FTA, this paper explores the economic effect of the Korea-China FTA on the bilateral trade, based on trade intensity calculation and a gravity model simulation, and formulates scientific and reasonable countermeasures based on research findings. The empirical analysis conducted in this research finds the following: the large amount of trade between the two countries is closely related to the level of the economic development (GDP) of the two countries. Most of all, the distance between the two countries, the per capita GDP of the two countries and whether FTA is established all affect the trade volume. While the distance between the two countries has a negative correlation with the trade volume, the other variables have a positive correlation. From this analysis, we draw several policy suggestions, focusing on how to resolve trade disputes between Korea and China, to further promote comprehensive cooperation, to accelerate the structural adjustment of industries, and to promote bilateral trade. Hopefully, the findings and policy suggestions from this study may contribute to the sustainable development of the Korea-China FTA.
부산대학교 중국전략연구소(구 부산대학교 중국연구소) [Institute of China Strategy]
설립연도
2006
분야
사회과학>사회복지학
소개
본 연구소의 설립을 통해 우선 한중 양국 국민의 상호이해와 교류증진을 위한 인문, 사회과학적인 연구는 물론이고, 이를 통해 기업(인)이 중국에 안정적인 정착과 교류를 할 수 있는 각종 환경을 조성하고자 한다.
게다가 본 연구소는 기존의 연구소의 기능과는 달리 단순한 학술 교류에 머물지 않고 인적 교류를 통해 양국관계의 이해를 증진하고 나아가 한국과 중국의 각종 프로젝트를 적극 유치, 개발함으로써 지속적으로 재원의 창출을 도모하고자 한다.