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An Evaluation of the Chinese RMB Internationalization

첫 페이지 보기
  • 발행기관
    부산대학교 중국전략연구소(구 부산대학교 중국연구소) 바로가기
  • 간행물
    Journal of China Studies KCI 등재 바로가기
  • 통권
    제22권 2호 (2019.06)바로가기
  • 페이지
    pp.73-90
  • 저자
    Zhaojun Sun, Kwangsuk Han
  • 언어
    영어(ENG)
  • URL
    https://www.earticle.net/Article/A362059

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원문정보

초록

영어
The global financial crisis in 2007 not only had a serious impact on the global financial system, but also led to a more sceptical view of US Dollar's role as the key currency. This opportunity led to the Chinese government actively promoting the internationalization of the Chinese Yuan. The People’s Bank of China has set three goals for the internationalization of the Yuan. The three goals are payment currency for international trade, investment currency and reserve currency. Chinese government set up a Yuan offshore settlement center not only in Hong Kong but also in London, Singapore, Seoul, France, Germany, Taiwan and New York. The Yuan became the world’s fifth-largest payment currency, surpassing the Canadian Dollar and the Australian Dollar in November 2014. The RMB also officially joined the SDR on 1 October, 2016. At present, the SDR currency basket consists of the US Dollar (41.73%), the euro (30.93%), the Chinese Yuan (10.92%), the Japanese Yen (8.33%), and the British Pound (8.09%). The percentage for the Yuan is ranked third after the US Dollar and euro. The internationalization of the Chinese Yuan has advanced rapidly since 2010, but this does not necessarily mean that the Chinese Yuan has reached the same level as the US Dollar or the euro, British Pound, or Japanese Yen. China is the second-largest economy in the world and is only beginning to recognize the need for the internationalization of the Yuan. This study aims to identify the properties and suitability of the RMB as an international currency. GDP, interest rate, and exchange rate were selected as the indicators of real and financial sectors. The empirical results revealed that the RMB manifested badly in the GDP and exchange rate sectors, but that the Chinese interest rate appeared synchronized with the United States' interest rate. Moreover, when the Chinese GDP growth rate is positive or the world economic growth rate is negative, their differences will converge. Similarly, when the Dollar depreciates or the Chinese Yuan appreciates, their differences will converge. There are no significant restrictions keeping the RMB from being incorporated as an international currency. However, the RMB is not yet fully convertible, and the exchange rate is still unstable. Moreover, the Chinese capital market is not yet fully open, and reform of the financial system must be urgently pursued.

목차

Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Theoretical review of the internationalization of the RMB
2.1 Definition of international currencies and key currency
2.2 RMB Internationalization Status
2.3 Literature Review
3. Empirical Analysis
3.1 Data
3.2 Measurement of data stability (ADF test)
3.3 Engle-Granger two step method
3.4 Synchronization analysis
3.5 Convergence analysis
4. Conclusion
Reference

저자

  • Zhaojun Sun [ Graduate School of Economics and International Trade, Pusan National University, Korea ]
  • Kwangsuk Han [ Graduate School of Economics and International Trade, Pusan National University, Korea ] Corresponding author

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

간행물 정보

발행기관

  • 발행기관명
    부산대학교 중국전략연구소(구 부산대학교 중국연구소) [Institute of China Strategy]
  • 설립연도
    2006
  • 분야
    사회과학>사회복지학
  • 소개
    본 연구소의 설립을 통해 우선 한중 양국 국민의 상호이해와 교류증진을 위한 인문, 사회과학적인 연구는 물론이고, 이를 통해 기업(인)이 중국에 안정적인 정착과 교류를 할 수 있는 각종 환경을 조성하고자 한다. 게다가 본 연구소는 기존의 연구소의 기능과는 달리 단순한 학술 교류에 머물지 않고 인적 교류를 통해 양국관계의 이해를 증진하고 나아가 한국과 중국의 각종 프로젝트를 적극 유치, 개발함으로써 지속적으로 재원의 창출을 도모하고자 한다.

간행물

  • 간행물명
    Journal of China Studies
  • 간기
    계간
  • pISSN
    1975-5902
  • eISSN
    3022-5590
  • 수록기간
    2006~2026
  • 등재여부
    KCI 등재
  • 십진분류
    KDC 912 DDC 951

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