The purpose of this paper is to test the productivity bias hypothesis that real exchange rate could deviate from its long-run equilibrium. To analyze the hypothesis, we estimated the long-run relationship between real exchange and productivity using the random effect, fixed effect and dynamic panel data model for 89 countries. The empirical results suggest that the increase in relative labor productivity difference, defined as trade sector productivity over non-trade sector productivity, causes real exchange rate to appreciate within 1% significance level no matter what of estimating model. Then we implemented the robustness analysis of the result by national income and exchange regime. The result shows that in most cases, the positive relative productivity differential has to do with the positive change of real exchange which means that the productivity bias hypothesis is supported.
목차
Abstract Ⅰ. 서론 Ⅱ. 기존 문헌 연구 및 이론모형 Ⅲ. 자료 및 추정모형 Ⅳ. 실증분석 및 결과 Ⅴ. 결론 부록 참고문헌