Earticle

초록

영어

In this study, a fuzzy inference method is applied to improve the result of accident risk when an uncertainty is involved in data. In Korea, ports are taking care of 99% of the total volume of international trade, where accidents related to cargoes loading/unloading activities happen. Though the accident rate is lower than other logistics industries, the consequence of any accident and its negative after effect often cause severe results in trade transactions at the national level. The risk analysis is a method used in many fields to calculate the level of risk using accident probability(frequency) and corresponding consequence(damage) when an accident occurs. And the fuzzy inference technique is normally used to inference the result when given data are not enough to employ for the analysis. Since the accident data for port related activities do not occur frequently, there exists uncertainty in the resulting risk level. Therefore, we combine a risk analysis technique, i.e. risk matrix with fuzzy inference to calculate the risk level of port accident using real accident data over the 5 year period(2009-2013). The results are following: for accident types, External Truck Damage(ETD), Container & Cargo Damage for Quay operation(CCDQ), Yard Equipment Damage(YED) are the riskiest accidents and main causes of accidents are mishandling of equipment, equipment malfunction, and collision between spreader and container. We calculated the accident risk levels of each risk factor based upon which more practical accident mitigation measures could be applied to reduce the overall risk level. Since most of the accidents results from diverse human factors, future research should be focused on the detailed classification and analysis of them. The primary purpose of risk analysis is to find the potential risky factors, calculate the risk, and establish proper risk reduction plans and implementation of them, industry-specific risk assessment techniques should be developed in more proper way. Also, for each risk mitigation measure, a necessary way to judge the effect of it, i.e., a cost-benefit analysis should be implemented in decision-making process.

목차

Ⅰ. 서론
 Ⅱ. 선행 연구
 Ⅲ. 퍼지 기법을 이용한 위험도 분석
 Ⅳ. 결론
 참고문헌
 부록
 Abstract

키워드

저자

• 김동진 [ Dong-Jin Kim | 부산대학교 경제통상대학 무역학부 ]

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  생산성연구: 국제융합학술지 [Productivity Research: An International Interdisciplinary Journal]

• 간기

  격월간

• pISSN

  1225-3553

• 수록기간

  1987~2025

• 등재여부

  KCI 등재

• 십진분류

  KDC 325 DDC 330