Earticle

초록

영어

The main purpose of the present study was to calculate the probabili-ty—based on a Bayesian approach—to win a medal in the Olympic Games given the athlete is seeded and to verify if the number one ranked athlete has any advantage compared to other seeded athletes concerning his/her chances to be Olympic champion. For this, data from athletes who took part in the London 2012 and Rio 2016 Olympic Games were considered. For males the probability of seeded athletes to win a medal was 41.1% and 42.9%, while for females it was 35.7% and 44.6% at London 2012 and Rio 2016, respectively. Furthermore, the probability of athletes ranked as number one to become Olympic cham-pion among the seeded athletes was 19.5% and 36.8% for males and 32.3% and 36.8% for females in London 2012 and Rio 2016, respectively. Based on these results the cost-benefit of investing human and finan-cial resources to qualify an athletes among the top eight competitors and his/her exposure to competitions—resulting in technical-tactical analysis of the opponent and higher risk of injury—should be carefully analyzed when determining the competition calendar to each athlete.

목차

Abstract
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
  Sample
  Variables considered
  Bayesian approach
  Ethical issues
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 CONFLICT OF INTEREST
 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 REFERENCES

키워드

저자

• Leandro Marques Guilheiro [ Universidade do Sul de Santa Catarina, Tubarão, Brazil ]
• Emerson Franchini [ Martial Arts and Combat Sports Research Group, School of Physical Education and Sport, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil ] Corresponding author

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  JER [Journal of Exercise Rehabilitation]

• 간기

  격월간

• pISSN

  2288-176X

• eISSN

  2288-1778

• 수록기간

  2013~2026

• 등재여부

  SCOPUS,KCI 등재

• 십진분류

  KDC 517 DDC 613