Risk management in project chain or multi-project is becoming a hot spot in the field of project management, however the analysis of project chain risk elements transmission almost stays in the angle of qualitative. So, in order to study the risk transmission process in project chain, the analytic model of project chain risk element transmission was established. In the beginning, the data mining method is introduced to acquire the risk elements transmission matrix and estimate the state of the risk elements through the previous state. Then, for ranking both probabilistic type and fuzzy type risk elements, probability and fuzzy numbers were transformed to interval numbers and ranking score was calculated by a ranking method. Finally, through the computation, the key risk element of different states can be obtained, through which decision makers can adjust the distribution of resources and control the key risk element. The analysis of a case has verified the validity and practicability of this method.
목차
Abstract 1. Introduction 2. Summary of Risk Element Transmission Theory and Project Chain 3. Analytic Model of Risk Elements Transmission in Project Chain 3.1. Definitions of Analytic Model 3.2. Data Mining for Preparation 3.3. Risk Ranking Method for Analytic Model 4. Example Analysis 5. Conclusions References
키워드
risk rankingrisk elements transmissiondata miningproject chain
저자
Cun Bin Li [ School of Economic & Management, North china Electric Power University, Beijing , China ]
Wei Dong [ School of Economic & Management, North china Electric Power University, Beijing , China ]
ShuaiShuai Lin [ School of Economic & Management, North china Electric Power University, Beijing , China ]
보안공학연구지원센터(IJMUE) [Science & Engineering Research Support Center, Republic of Korea(IJMUE)]
설립연도
2006
분야
공학>컴퓨터학
소개
1. 보안공학에 대한 각종 조사 및 연구
2. 보안공학에 대한 응용기술 연구 및 발표
3. 보안공학에 관한 각종 학술 발표회 및 전시회 개최
4. 보안공학 기술의 상호 협조 및 정보교환
5. 보안공학에 관한 표준화 사업 및 규격의 제정
6. 보안공학에 관한 산학연 협동의 증진
7. 국제적 학술 교류 및 기술 협력
8. 보안공학에 관한 논문지 발간
9. 기타 본 회 목적 달성에 필요한 사업
간행물
간행물명
International Journal of Multimedia and Ubiquitous Engineering
간기
월간
pISSN
1975-0080
수록기간
2008~2016
등재여부
SCOPUS
십진분류
KDC 505DDC 605
이 권호 내 다른 논문 / International Journal of Multimedia and Ubiquitous Engineering Vol.11 No.11