Taking account of the influence of uncertainty, incomplete issues and common cause failure (CCF) to system reliability, a method for reliability analysis based on Dempster-Shafer (D-S) evidence inference and Bayesian network (BN) is proposed by using the advantage of uncertainty reasoning and figurative expression of BN. Firstly, the method to map fault tree into BN with epistemic uncertainty is presented, and the probability of top event (TE) is calculated by belief measure and plausibility measure of evidence. Moreover, by using BN, some useful information can be obtained, through which the weak parts of the system can be identified. The results demonstrate that the proposed method makes a more rational evaluation result, and it is quite valid to deal with uncertainty information in reliability analysis, which provide a reasonable guidance for system fault diagnosis and maintenance and improve the system reliability.
목차
Abstract 1. Introduction 2. Description of the ATP system 2.1. Structure and function of ATP system 2.2 Fault Tree Model of ATP System 3. Theory of BN and Evidence inference 3.1. Bayesian Network 3.2. D-S Evidence Inference 3.3. BN Expansion Based on Evidence Theory 4. Common Cause Failure 5. Reliability Analysis of ATP 6. Conclusion Acknowledgment References
키워드
Reliability analysisATP system of CTCS-3Bayesian networkEvidence inferenceCommon cause failureEpistemic uncertainty
저자
Jinfeng Yang [ School of Automation and Electrical Engineering LanzhouJiaotong University, Lanzhou, China ]
Youpeng Zhang [ School of Automation and Electrical Engineering LanzhouJiaotong University, Lanzhou, China ]
보안공학연구지원센터(IJCA) [Science & Engineering Research Support Center, Republic of Korea(IJCA)]
설립연도
2006
분야
공학>컴퓨터학
소개
1. 보안공학에 대한 각종 조사 및 연구
2. 보안공학에 대한 응용기술 연구 및 발표
3. 보안공학에 관한 각종 학술 발표회 및 전시회 개최
4. 보안공학 기술의 상호 협조 및 정보교환
5. 보안공학에 관한 표준화 사업 및 규격의 제정
6. 보안공학에 관한 산학연 협동의 증진
7. 국제적 학술 교류 및 기술 협력
8. 보안공학에 관한 논문지 발간
9. 기타 본 회 목적 달성에 필요한 사업
간행물
간행물명
International Journal of Control and Automation
간기
월간
pISSN
2005-4297
수록기간
2008~2016
십진분류
KDC 505DDC 605
이 권호 내 다른 논문 / International Journal of Control and Automation Vol.9 No.7