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변이할당분석을 이용한 광주의 수출행태 분석
Export Behavior of Gwangju City: Shift-Share Analysis

첫 페이지 보기
  • 발행기관
    한국무역통상학회 바로가기
  • 간행물
    무역통상학회지 KCI 등재 바로가기
  • 통권
    제15권 제3호 (2015.09)바로가기
  • 페이지
    pp.209-224
  • 저자
    모수원, 박정환, 이광배
  • 언어
    한국어(KOR)
  • URL
    https://www.earticle.net/Article/A254399

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원문정보

초록

영어
Shift-share analysis is a traditional tool for interregional comparison, measuring and evaluating sectoral performance. Its widespread use is explained by its simplicity, modest data requirements, and the fact that its use does not require primary data collection and the results are relatively easy to assess and interpret. This study, hence, uses a shift-share technique. The traditional shift-share model partitions the change of exports in a port into three effects: the national growth effect (NGE), the industrial mix effect (IME) and the regional share effect (RSE). The national growth effect attempts measure the export change in a region that would have occurred if export had grown at precisely the same rate as the national average. Hence, if the city grows at the same as the national average, it does not possess any comparative advantage in terms of resource endowments or human capital; it is neither better nor worse off then its counterparts. The second of the three components, the industrial mix effect, associate the differential growth rate in export between the region in question and the nation with the overall strengths or weaknesses of the export sectors. Ideally, it is expected that a large proportion of the region’s export should be concentrated in faster-growing industries and, by the same token, a smaller percentage of a region’s export should be in slow-growing industries of the port. The third component is the regional share effect accounting for a differential change between a region and the nation. The regional share effect portrays the competitive position of a region in relation to the rest of the region. The export data used in this study are obtained from the Korea International Trade Association. The particular product categories studied are at two-digit HS level of disaggregation. The national growth effect for the HS87 product accounted for about 73 percent of the increase in export of Gwangju City or 2 million dollars but fell to 8 percent or 50 thousand dollars during the period under analysis. That both the industrial mix effect and the regional share effect of the HS87 product were positive can be interpreted to mean that Gwangju City’s main export product was rapid growing one rather than the slow ones. Both effects, however, tended to dwindle. The industrial mix effect and the regional share effect in export to the U.S. were positive, while those effects in the export to China were negative or explained only a small portion of the change.

목차

Abstract
 Ⅰ. 서론
 Ⅱ. 광주의 수출구조
 Ⅲ. 변이할당분석
 Ⅳ. 결론
 참고문헌

키워드

shift-share analysis industrial mix effect regional share effect export of Gwangju City

저자

  • 모수원 [ Soo-Won Mo | 목포대학교 무역학과 교수 ] 제1연구자
  • 박정환 [ Jeong-Hwan Park | 광주테크노파크 선임연구원 ] 공동저자
  • 이광배 [ Kwang-Bae Lee | 순천대학교 물류학과 교수 ] 교신저자

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

간행물 정보

발행기관

  • 발행기관명
    한국무역통상학회 [Korea Research Association of International Commerce]
  • 설립연도
    2000
  • 분야
    사회과학>무역학
  • 소개
    국제무역에 관한 학술활동 1. 연구발표회 개최 2. 학술지 간행 3. 산학협동을 위한 조사 연구 4. 국제학술교류 5. 기타 학회 목적에 부합하는 사업

간행물

  • 간행물명
    무역통상학회지 [Journal of Korea Research Association of International Commerce]
  • 간기
    격월간
  • pISSN
    1738-4354
  • 수록기간
    2001~2025
  • 등재여부
    KCI 등재
  • 십진분류
    KDC 326 DDC 380

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