K-REITs 수익률의 시계열특성과 조건부 분산과의 관계에 관한 연구
A Study on the Relationship between Conditional Heteroscedasticity and the Time Series Characteristics in K-REITs Returns
The purpose of this study is analyzed by using the ARCH model to find the behavior in reits returns of monthly korean reits during january 2002 to may 2014. Empirical results here show that there are statistically significant conditional heteroscedasticity during the period in rising returns. And also, this paper has analyzed the ARCH-M model in K-reits returns to find the volatility in conditional returns and variance as time goes. It is found that conditional returns and variance is the positive relationship even if the statistical significance is low. This results indicate the partial existence of trade-off between returns and risk.
목차
ABSTRACT I. 서론 II. 이론적 배경 및 선행연구 1. 이론적 배경 2. 선행연구 III. 실증분석 1. 자료 2. 시계열상관에 대한 검정 3. 조건부 분산모형 설정 4. 조건부 분산모형 추정결과 및 검정 5. 조건부 분산모형을 이용한 REITs 수익률과 조건부 분산 IV. 결론 참고문헌