2012년 KFA&TFA Joint Conference in Finance (2012.09)바로가기
페이지
pp.369-406
저자
Ya-Kai Chang, Yu-Lun Chen, Robin K. Chou
언어
영어(ENG)
URL
https://www.earticle.net/Article/A243212
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8,200원
원문정보
초록
영어
To test the effectiveness of position limits, this study examines the impact of the relative size of hedger and speculator open interests on the price discovery process in both JPY-USD and EUR-USD futures markets. Hedging trading has a negative impact, regardless of its size, on price discovery in futures markets. Hedgers are less likely to be information motivated, so their trading uniformly delays the price discovery process. However, there is a positive and nonlinear impact of speculators’ trade size on price discovery, the contribution of which depends on the relative size of the speculative open interest. Contrary to conventional wisdom among regulators, speculative trading does not harm the market in terms of price discovery; more important, as long as speculative trading is lower than an endogenously determined threshold, it even improves futures market efficiency.
목차
Abstract 1. Introduction 2. Data 3. Methodology 3.1. Information shares 3.2. Logistic smooth transition regression (LSTR) model 3.3. Empirical models 4. Empirical Results 4.1 Impact of hedger trading positions on price discovery 4.2 Impact of speculators’ trading positions on price discovery 5. Conclusions References Table Appendix