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Possibility of Chaotic Motion in the R&D Activities in Korea

첫 페이지 보기
  • 발행기관
    한국정보기술응용학회 바로가기
  • 간행물
    JITAM KCI 등재 바로가기
  • 통권
    Vol.21 No.3 (2014.09)바로가기
  • 페이지
    pp.1-17
  • 저자
    Jeunghwee Loh
  • 언어
    영어(ENG)
  • URL
    https://www.earticle.net/Article/A234701

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원문정보

초록

영어
In this study, various characteristics of R&D related economic variables were studied to analyze complexity of science and technology activities in Korea, as reliance of R&D activities of the private sector is growing by the day. In comparison to other countries, this means that it is likely to be fluctuated by economic conditions. This complexity characteristic signifies that the result of science and technology activities can be greatly different from the anticipated results - depending on the influences from economic conditions and the results of science and technology activities which may be unpredictable. After reviewing the results of 17 variables related to science and technology characteristics of complex systems intended for time-series data - in the total R&D expenditure, and private R&D expenditure, numbers of SCI papers, the existence of chaotic characteristics were. using Lyapunov Exponent, Hurst Exponent, BDS test. This result reveals science and technology activity of the three most important components in Korea which are; heavy dependence on initial condition, the long term memory of time series, and non-linear structure. As stable R&D investment and result are needed in order to maintain steady development of Korea economy, the R&D structure should be less influenced by business cycles and more effective technology development policy for improving human resource development must be set in motion. And to minimize the risk of new technology, the construction of sophisticated technology forecasting system should take into account, for development of R&D system.

목차

Abstract
 1. Introduction
 2. Theoretical Background
 3. Methodology and Data
  3.1 Lyapunov Exponent: Sensitive Dependence on Initial Condition
  3.2 Hurst Exponent : Long-term Memory of Time Series
  3.3 BDS Test : Non Linear Structures of Time Series
  3.4 Data
 4. Analyses and Results
  4.1 Results of Lyapunov Exponent Calculation
  4.2 Results of Hurst Exponent Calculation
  4.3 Results of BDS Test
 5. Conclusion
 References

키워드

Science and technology Activities Chaotic System Sensitive Dependence on Initial Condition Long Memory of External Shock Non-Linearity and Complexity

저자

  • Jeunghwee Loh [ Lecturer at Dept. of Economics, Mokpo National University ]

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

간행물 정보

발행기관

  • 발행기관명
    한국정보기술응용학회 [The Korea Society of Information Technology Applications]
  • 설립연도
    1999
  • 분야
    사회과학>경영학
  • 소개
    본 학회는 정보기술 관련 분야의 연구 및 교류를 촉진하여 국가 및 기업정보화 발전에 공헌함을 그 목적으로 한다.

간행물

  • 간행물명
    JITAM [Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management]
  • 간기
    격월간
  • pISSN
    1598-6284
  • eISSN
    2508-1209
  • 수록기간
    1999~2026
  • 십진분류
    KDC 005 DDC 005

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