Earticle

초록

영어

In November, the USA's National Intelligence Council released its 2020 Project Report, which included alternative scenarios for Korea as well as virtually all the worlds' countries. The scenarios were explored using the International Futures simulation, a complex, multidimensional and multipurpose computer model and database under development for the last 35 years. This paper examines the Korean case from the perspective of four key dimensions of national security: development, democracy, peace, and unification. A transformation in the "power" of decision-making is taking place today, a feature of globalization that has not been the focus of media or academic attention. It is emerging as a new phenomenon, far from fully developed, yet one which already promises far greater social responsibility and social justice for average people worldwide. Korean society thus should benefit both from the trends in national security indicators and changes in the global decision making ethos. Korea's greatest immediate challenge, of course, remains relating to the North in such a way as to promise long term unity with a minimum of political and social dislocation to the advantage of both North and South. The trends in security indicators and global decision making increasingly strengthen the opportunities to meet this challenge successfully.

목차

Abstract
 Introduction
 The International Futures Simulation (IFs) Applied to East Asia
 Development
 Democracy
 Peace and Development
 Unification
 References
 Endnotes

키워드

저자

• Richard W. Chadwick [ University of Hawaii ]

참고문헌

발행기관

간행물

표지보기 관심저널 등록

• 간행물명

  한국평화연구학회 학술회의

• 간기

  부정기

• 수록기간

  2011~2016

• 십진분류

  KDC 340 DDC 320