Predicting fire nature is artistry as much as it’s a science. Forecasting the burnt area and range of field plays a vital role in resource abatement and renewal efforts. Literature studies have shown that machine learning techniques achieved better performance in forecasting and trend perusal. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relevance of the state-of-the-art machine learning techniques epsilon Support Vector Regression and Nu-SVR to predict forest fire occurrence and burned area utilizing the meteorological data. The goals of this research are to (1) Identifying the best parameter settings using a grid-search and pattern search technique; (2) comparing the prediction accuracy among the models using different data sorting methods, random sampling and cross-validation. In conclusion, the experiments show that E-SVR performs better using various fitness-functions and variance analysis. The study is carried out to build predictive models for guesstimating the risk of the outbreaks in Montesinho Natural Park.
목차
Abstract 1. Introduction 2. Literature Review 3. Predictive Model 3.1. Data Set Resource 4. Experiments and Results 5. Conclusion References
키워드
Forest Fire PredictionMachine LearningRegressionSupport Vector MachineEpsilon SVRNu-SVR
저자
Somya Jain [ Division of Computer Engineering Netaji Subas Institute of Technology, New Delhi University of Delhi ]
MPS Bhatia [ Division of Computer Engineering Netaji Subas Institute of Technology, New Delhi University of Delhi ]
보안공학연구지원센터(IJDTA) [Science & Engineering Research Support Center, Republic of Korea(IJDTA)]
설립연도
2006
분야
공학>컴퓨터학
소개
1. 보안공학에 대한 각종 조사 및 연구
2. 보안공학에 대한 응용기술 연구 및 발표
3. 보안공학에 관한 각종 학술 발표회 및 전시회 개최
4. 보안공학 기술의 상호 협조 및 정보교환
5. 보안공학에 관한 표준화 사업 및 규격의 제정
6. 보안공학에 관한 산학연 협동의 증진
7. 국제적 학술 교류 및 기술 협력
8. 보안공학에 관한 논문지 발간
9. 기타 본 회 목적 달성에 필요한 사업
간행물
간행물명
International Journal of Database Theory and Application
간기
격월간
pISSN
2005-4270
수록기간
2008~2016
십진분류
KDC 505DDC 605
이 권호 내 다른 논문 / International Journal of Database Theory and Application Vol.6 No.4