Earticle

초록

영어

Recently, Apartment Reconstruction Projects are performing only with the basis of profitability without establishing either certain criteria or standard guideline. In addition, the profitability information contained in a disposal plan tends to be considered as a fixed value, and it is frequently changeable because reconstruction projects have such a long time to complete and many participants with respective interests. As mentioned above, the new approach needs to be developed which covers the limitation of the unvaried one. Consequently, this study focuses on the probability approach considering not only variances that affect the profit, but the relationship between profit and risk, and then is modeling. This study is anticipated to improve the reliability and accuracy of expected value as well as apply to the decision making criteria quantitively about potentially hidden risks in that projects.

목차

Abstract
 1. 서론
  1.1 연구의 배경 및 목적
  1.2 연구의 범위 및 방법
 2. 아파트 재건축사업의 수익성예측방법
 3. 확률적 위험도분석모형을 이용한 수익성예측모델
  3.1 분석방법론 및 수행절차
  3.2 위험도 평가 및 의사결정 지표
 4. 사례연구
  4.1 사례 사업의 개요
  4.2 수익성예측
  4.3 결정론적 분석모형과 PRA모형의 편차분석
 5. 결론
 참고문헌

저자

• 우광민 [ Woo Kwang-Min | 정회원, 동아대 대학원 건축공학과, 박사수료 ]
• 이학기 [ Lee Hak-Ki | 정회원, 동아대 건축학부 교수, 공학박사 ]

참고문헌