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A Research on the Interrelationship of housing price index between ‘Sudokwon’ and non-‘Sudokwon’ : concentrating on Seoul vs. Busan and Jeju using the Granger-Causality Test

  • 간행물
    대한건축학회연합논문집 KCI 등재 바로가기
  • 권호(발행년)
    제14권 제4호 통권 52호 (2012.12) 바로가기
  • 페이지
    pp.77-84
  • 저자
    Kim, Yeon-Joon, Yi, Yong-Kyu
  • 언어
    영어(ENG)
  • URL
    https://www.earticle.net/Article/A188872

원문정보

초록

영어
This paper investigates patterns of investors toward real-estate market. And, this paper does empirical tests to prove whether investors’ investing patterns are changed from the metropolitan area to the rural area. Namely, economic weakness of metropolitan area affects to investors’ pattern of investment to the rural area such as Busan or Jeju. This paper uses the Granger-causality test to investigate our research questions. Results of this paper shows that ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Busan’ affects to ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Seoul’; ‘Apartment Purchasing Price Index of Busan’ affects to ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Seoul’; ‘Apartment Purchasing Price Index of Jeju’ affects to ‘Apartment Purchasing Price Index of Seoul.’ Test results show that ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Jeju’ affect to ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Seoul’ mutually. And, ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Busan’ affects to ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Jeju’ and this also affects to ‘Housing Purchase Price Composite indices of Seoul.’ After the financial crisis in 2008, instead of decreasing attraction toward investment in ‘Sudokwon’ area, investors are more attractive to non-‘Sudokwon’ area as an investment’s targets. That makes increase housing prices in non-‘Sudokwon’ area. This also presses ‘Sudokwon’ area to make increase housing prices in ‘Sudokwon’ area. Housing prices are decreased in both ‘Sudokwon’ and non-‘Sudokwon’ area simultaneously. With the Granger-causality test, this paper finds investment pattern of investors between ‘Sudokwon’ and non-‘Sudokwon’ area. Also, this paper finds the direction of investment between them. With this, we expect that housing markets will be reshuffled with the real-demander for housing markets.

목차

Abstract
 1. INTRODUCTION
 2. REGULATION TOWARD THE REGION OF ‘SUDOKWON’ AND TREND OF HOUSING PRICES
  1) Regulation Trend
  2) Trend of Housing prices
 3. METHODOLOGIES AND MODELS
 4. TESTING RESULTS
 5. SURVEY RESULTS
 6. CONCLUDING REMARKS
 REFERENCES

저자

  • Kim, Yeon-Joon [ Assistant Professor, Department of International Trade & Commerce, Kyungsung University, Busan, Korea. ]
  • Yi, Yong-Kyu [ Assistant Professor, School of Architecture, Jeju National University, Jeju, Korea. ]

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

    간행물 정보

    • 간행물
      대한건축학회연합논문집 [Journal of the Regional Association of Architectural Institute of Korea]
    • 간기
      격월간
    • pISSN
      1229-5752
    • 수록기간
      1999~2026
    • 등재여부
      KCI 등재
    • 십진분류
      KDC 540 DDC 690